Learning Hub
Understanding war's impact on prices
Deep dives into the economics behind our model. Learn how commodity shocks, currency depreciation, and pass-through mechanics translate into the numbers you see in the simulator.
What is pass-through in economics?
Pass-through measures how much of a cost shock at the wholesale or import level eventually reaches consumer prices. Understanding pass-through is essential to interpreting impact ceiling estimates.
Read article →How wars affect food prices
Wars disrupt food prices through multiple channels: supply destruction, trade route blockages, currency depreciation, and energy cost spikes. This article traces each mechanism.
Read article →Understanding commodity price shocks
Commodity price shocks are sudden, large movements in the prices of raw materials like oil, wheat, or metals. They propagate through the global economy in predictable but often underappreciated ways.
Read article →Currency depreciation and inflation
When a country’s currency loses value, imports become more expensive. This article explains how currency depreciation amplifies commodity shocks and drives consumer price inflation.
Read article →How to read an impact ceiling estimate
Our simulator produces impact ceiling estimates, not price forecasts. This article explains what the numbers mean, how to interpret them, and common misreadings to avoid.
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