Macro-to-Consumer Price Impact Tool
How could oil, war, and currency affect what you pay?
Select a country and a consumer category to see estimated price impacts under different conflict and crisis scenarios.
Scenario estimator only. This tool estimates a scenario ceiling under 100% pass-through. Actual impacts depend on subsidies, supply substitution, and government intervention.
Example impact estimates
See how macro shocks translate to consumer categories
Ceiling at 100% pass-through, immediate lag.
Fuel prices could rise up to 28.4% as Strait of Hormuz tensions drive crude oil and shipping costs higher, amplified by a depreciating Egyptian Pound.
Strait of Hormuz 2026
Most impacted countries by the oil crisis
Household basket impact ceiling at 100% pass-through. Click any country to explore the full breakdown.
Connecting macro shocks to your grocery bill
Conflict
See how macro shocks translate to consumer categories
Country
Countries: 20+ categories: 10
Ceiling
Ceiling at 100% pass-through, immediate lag.